# An Emerson College Polling/Nexstar survey of Texas likely voters measured Ken Paxton at 47% and James Talarico at 46%, with 5% undecided and 2% supporting someone else.

State: developing

Canonical: https://kleory.com/news/cases/xnews-bdd660c5a881/

## Receipts
- 2026-08-16T04:13:52.226Z: Paxton and Talarico Locked in Tight Texas Senate Race
- 2026-08-16T04:13:52.226Z: screenshot_timestamp
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: subject_identity
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: subject_identity
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: Emerson's official account announced the 47% to 46% topline and linked the primary poll release.
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: Emerson College Polling published the August 13 survey in partnership with Nexstar Media.
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: An Emerson College Polling/Nexstar survey of Texas likely voters measured Ken Paxton at 47% and James Talarico at 46%, with 5% undecided and 2% supporting someone else.
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: The official release preserves the 47%-46% topline, undecided and other shares, field dates, sample, and methodology.
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: Emerson's official X post announces Paxton 47%, Talarico 46%, the August 9-10 field dates, 1,000 likely-voter sample, and plus-or-minus 3% interval.
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: Emerson describes the race as a dead heat and says survey results should be understood within the poll's range of scores.
- 2026-08-16T04:22:16.000Z: The one-point Emerson topline is retained as a dated poll result; candidate responses and qualifying registered cross-publication coverage remain missing.