# An Emerson College Polling/Nexstar survey of Texas likely voters conducted August 9-10, 2026 measured Ken Paxton at 47% and James Talarico at 46%, with 5% undecided and 2% supporting someone else.

State: developing

Canonical: https://kleory.com/news/cases/xnews-a3404f14e76f/

## Receipts
- 2026-08-17T02:01:40.281Z: Ken Paxton Edges Ahead in Tight Texas Senate Race
- 2026-08-17T02:01:40.281Z: screenshot_timestamp
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: subject_identity
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: subject_identity
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: The August 14 Kollman Report post used 'PAXTON EDGES TALARICO IN TEXAS' and linked a brief that attributes a one-point Emerson edge, but the exact X News headline was not found on that account.
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: Kollman Report published the August 14 item titled 'PAXTON EDGES TALARICO IN TEXAS' and cited an Emerson likely-voter survey via a Breitbart link.
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: An Emerson College Polling/Nexstar survey of Texas likely voters conducted August 9-10, 2026 measured Ken Paxton at 47% and James Talarico at 46%, with 5% undecided and 2% supporting someone else.
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: The official August 13 Emerson release preserves the 47%-46% Senate topline, dead-heat language, field dates, and Spencer Kimball quotations.
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: The Kollman Report page preserves the 'PAXTON EDGES TALARICO IN TEXAS' headline and the one-point Emerson attribution.
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: Emerson's own release describes the Senate race as a dead heat and does not use 'edges ahead' language; no Paxton or Talarico response to the topline was located.
- 2026-08-17T02:20:00.000Z: The dated Emerson topline is retained, but Emerson frames a dead heat, earlier public polls had Talarico nominally ahead, and no qualifying registered coverage of an 'edges ahead' claim was fetched.