Reported
J.D. Vance Tops Kalshi Odds for 2028 Presidency
News record
In an August 14 Kalshi Politics snapshot, J.D. Vance was listed first at 19 percent, ahead of Marco Rubio at 15 percent and three candidates at 10 percent.
Evidence state
developing
Later Kalshi market snapshots, an official market close or rules record, registered coverage, and any correction to the August 14 odds display.
Reported vs. the record
The record
Directly fetched Kalshi Politics post preserves the ordered 2028 presidential winner odds table and timestamp.
Primary-source receiptReceipts
- captured headline
J.D. Vance Tops Kalshi Odds for 2028 Presidency
- screenshot timestamp
screenshot timestamp
- subject identity
subject identity
The directly fetched Kalshi Politics post names JD Vance in its odds table; entity publication remains gated pending registry review.
Open source receipt - originating speaker
Kalshi Politics published an August 14 snapshot of 2028 presidential winner odds.
The direct X page displays the Kalshi Politics account, timestamp, and complete odds table.
Open source receipt - reporter publication
Kalshi Politics is the named publisher of the retained odds snapshot.
The canonical X post exposes the publisher identity and the full table without relying on a secondary article.
Open source receipt - atomic claim
In an August 14 Kalshi Politics snapshot, J.D. Vance was listed first at 19 percent, ahead of Marco Rubio at 15 percent and three candidates at 10 percent.
The retained post gives the date and exact displayed percentages; the claim is explicitly bounded to that snapshot.
Open source receipt - primary source evidence
Directly fetched Kalshi Politics post preserves the ordered 2028 presidential winner odds table and timestamp.
The canonical status URL returned the author, full table, and timestamp; response content was hashed in this window.
Open source receipt - resolution evidence status
The August 14 odds snapshot is retained, while the live market is dynamic and the direct market page was blocked by a security checkpoint during this window.
The official social post is directly available, but the live Kalshi page returned HTTP 429 and no eligible correction or response was found.
Open source receipt
This page is a source-linked record. It does not score a person, infer motive, or replace the preserved source material.