# Polymarket’s official account stated there was a 99% chance Byron Donalds wins Florida’s Republican primary for governor.

State: developing

Canonical: https://kleory.com/news/cases/xnews-0abfb10f2c6b/

## Receipts
- 2026-08-17T01:03:13.361Z: Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Byron Donalds in Florida GOP Primary
- 2026-08-17T01:03:13.361Z: screenshot_timestamp
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: subject_identity
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: Polymarket’s official account stated a 99% chance Byron Donalds wins Florida’s Republican primary for governor.
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: The captured card is a synthesized X News headline; no registered-outlet byline using the exact wording was located.
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: Polymarket’s official account stated there was a 99% chance Byron Donalds wins Florida’s Republican primary for governor.
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: Kalshi Politics posted Florida Republican governor primary odds of 98% for Byron Donalds and 1% for James Fishback.
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: The official Polymarket post retains the 99% Donalds wording and August 16 timestamp.
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: The Polymarket event page displayed Byron Donalds at 99.0% for the August 18 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary.
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: The official Kalshi Politics post retains 98% Donalds and 1% Fishback odds with attached market screenshots.
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: Florida’s Division of Elections matching-funds page lists Byron Donalds among 2026 gubernatorial candidates, last updated August 14, 2026.
- 2026-08-17T01:20:00.000Z: Official market pages and operator posts show Donalds heavily favored; the August 18 primary result is not yet an official record in this window.
